Comparing the Current Gold Cycle With That of the ’70s

The following graph plots the gold price during the 1970s over the gold price action since 2001.

gold price during 1970s and now
Source: Plexus Asset Management (adapted from

At this point, the current cycle remarkably resembles the price movements of the previous cycle. The gold price could stagnant at the current level for the next year or two and still remain on course for the spectacular gains precious metals enjoyed during the 70s.

This possibility is consistent with my bearish intermediate-term, but bullish long-term outlook on gold. Gold bulls need to keep in mind that no bull market goes up in a straight line and corrections can be severe and plentiful.

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